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CryptoQuant: Bitcoin in Early Bull Phase, Facing $83,000 Resistance

On-chain indicators suggest Bitcoin is entering an initial growth stage, though analysts warn of a critical technical ceiling.

TechNewsReel Newsroom · August 25, 2026

Bitcoin may be entering the initial phase of a new bull market, according to recent on-chain analysis from CryptoQuant. The cryptocurrency has seen a significant rally, adding approximately $350 billion to its market capitalization as it tests levels above $80,000.

Analysts at CryptoQuant suggest the asset is in the early stages of a bullish cycle, specifically referencing Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) patterns similar to those observed in 2016 and 2020. While this interpretation is an analytical projection based on historical data rather than a settled market fact, the upward momentum remains evident. Despite this, CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno has identified $83,000 as a critical resistance level that the asset must overcome to sustain its current trajectory.

Market Context

This analysis arrives during a period of heightened volatility as Bitcoin attempts to establish a definitive upward trend following a phase of consolidation. Current price action is characterized by tension between strong bullish momentum and increasing profit-taking by investors who entered positions at lower levels. By comparing current on-chain behavior to previous cycles, analysts are attempting to determine if the current rally is a temporary spike or the foundation of a long-term trend.

Why It Matters

For traders and institutional investors, identifying the "initial phase" of a bull market is essential for determining optimal entry points and risk management strategies. The $83,000 mark serves as more than just a number; it is a psychological and technical benchmark. A clean breakout above this level would provide a strong signal that the market has transitioned from a recovery phase into a sustained expansion, potentially attracting further capital inflows.

What's Next

Market participants are now watching to see if Bitcoin can flip the $83,000 resistance into support. While on-chain indicators currently lean bullish, the sustainability of this move depends on whether buying pressure can outweigh the rising volume of profit-taking. Investors remain cautious of potential volatility as the asset tests this key ceiling, with the broader market looking for confirmation that the early-stage bull thesis is holding true.

Sources

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